Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.004307 0.004530 0.004759 0.005013 0.005286 0.005571 0.005893
2025-10-12 0.003966 0.004300 0.004659 0.005073 0.005542 0.006057 0.006668
2025-10-19 0.003699 0.004091 0.004524 0.005039 0.005641 0.006326 0.007172
2025-10-26 0.003500 0.003932 0.004419 0.005013 0.005726 0.006562 0.007629
2025-11-02 0.003331 0.003790 0.004318 0.004976 0.005783 0.006754 0.008030
2025-11-09 0.003253 0.003747 0.004326 0.005062 0.005986 0.007126 0.008668
2025-11-16 0.003122 0.003632 0.004238 0.005021 0.006023 0.007286 0.009038
2025-11-23 0.003021 0.003548 0.004181 0.005013 0.006096 0.007490 0.009471
2025-11-30 0.002900 0.003431 0.004078 0.004939 0.006077 0.007567 0.009730
2025-12-07 0.002795 0.003331 0.003991 0.004878 0.006069 0.007655 0.010006
2025-12-14 0.002721 0.003267 0.003945 0.004869 0.006128 0.007833 0.010416
2025-12-21 0.002595 0.003131 0.003802 0.004724 0.005993 0.007734 0.010411
2025-12-28 0.002544 0.003091 0.003783 0.004745 0.006089 0.007966 0.010918
2026-01-04 0.002510 0.003072 0.003790 0.004802 0.006238 0.008280 0.011569
2026-01-11 0.002444 0.003008 0.003735 0.004770 0.006257 0.008404 0.011930
2026-01-18 0.002385 0.002952 0.003688 0.004747 0.006285 0.008540 0.012317
2026-01-25 0.002326 0.002893 0.003635 0.004712 0.006295 0.008648 0.012661
2026-02-01 0.002311 0.002893 0.003662 0.004792 0.006476 0.009027 0.013486
2026-02-08 0.002256 0.002837 0.003610 0.004754 0.006479 0.009125 0.013834
2026-02-15 0.002214 0.002797 0.003579 0.004746 0.006526 0.009295 0.014318
2026-02-22 0.002154 0.002730 0.003508 0.004678 0.006476 0.009304 0.014511
2026-03-01 0.002100 0.002672 0.003448 0.004622 0.006442 0.009337 0.014750
2026-03-08 0.002064 0.002637 0.003420 0.004613 0.006483 0.009495 0.015232